Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.033262 0.038791 0.044878 0.052069 0.060320 0.069480 0.080410
2025-08-17 0.024316 0.031329 0.039773 0.050648 0.064240 0.080619 0.101799
2025-08-24 0.018965 0.026665 0.036687 0.050593 0.069280 0.093400 0.126752
2025-08-31 0.014789 0.022504 0.033273 0.049237 0.072108 0.103452 0.149369
2025-09-07 0.012726 0.020760 0.032678 0.051392 0.079712 0.120556 0.183383
2025-09-14 0.010638 0.018522 0.030902 0.051400 0.084018 0.133293 0.212504
2025-09-21 0.008740 0.016188 0.028529 0.050004 0.085814 0.142279 0.236797
2025-09-28 0.007396 0.014510 0.026899 0.049466 0.088738 0.153116 0.264889
2025-10-05 0.006821 0.014080 0.027286 0.052323 0.097539 0.174188 0.311506
2025-10-12 0.006192 0.013426 0.027154 0.054191 0.104773 0.193285 0.356614
2025-10-19 0.005260 0.012001 0.025358 0.052718 0.105775 0.201654 0.383934
2025-10-26 0.004586 0.010978 0.024171 0.052205 0.108418 0.213072 0.417589
2025-11-02 0.003882 0.009776 0.022474 0.050505 0.108695 0.220416 0.445005
2025-11-09 0.003324 0.008795 0.021083 0.049230 0.109645 0.229101 0.475808
2025-11-16 0.002945 0.008163 0.020346 0.049229 0.113169 0.243069 0.518068
2025-11-23 0.002533 0.007365 0.019106 0.047935 0.113780 0.251265 0.549659
2025-11-30 0.002381 0.007212 0.019351 0.050050 0.122034 0.275814 0.616571
2025-12-07 0.002130 0.006738 0.018741 0.050064 0.125580 0.290837 0.665088
2025-12-14 0.001844 0.006107 0.017634 0.048706 0.125794 0.298721 0.699175
2025-12-21 0.001634 0.005651 0.016904 0.048183 0.127895 0.310892 0.743561
2025-12-28 0.001581 0.005662 0.017432 0.050972 0.138323 0.342632 0.833826
2026-01-04 0.001492 0.005546 0.017589 0.052796 0.146557 0.370082 0.916715
2026-01-11 0.001302 0.005053 0.016595 0.051358 0.146366 0.377921 0.955445